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Travel intent to the US has “softened” compared to the previous year, according to new analysis by travel intelligence platform Mabrian.
Its Share of Searches Index tracked millions of weekly flight searches to the US from the UK, Europe, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and Australia between January and April 2025, for departures through to September.
It found that while British demand was “initially impacted” during that time, there were “signs of recovery” which briefly surpassed last year’s level of searches in mid-March.
However, in early April following tariff announcements by the US government, there was “a moderate decrease” in demand of 0.8 percentage points, which “recovered weakly” towards the end of the month potentially due to the bilateral agreement on tariffs between the UK and US government.
Meanwhile, searches from the 27 European Union member countries recorded “a moderate” 0.3 percentage point decline compared to the same period in 2024, while Australia and GCC countries registered a 0.5 percentage point decrease.
At the recent Advantage Travel Partnership conference, commercial director John Sullivan highlighted growing numbers of travellers choosing alternative destinations to the US based on the belief they would get better value, citing cost, a weaker exchange rate and rising tipping expectations as “a growing concern”.
Meanwhile, the most recent Visit USA Association (UK) survey of operator and agent members found bookings to the US were holding steady with “minimal” cancellations in the first three months of 2025.
Carlos Cendra, partner and director of marketing and Communications at Mabrian, said: “In the context of millions of searches, these variations represent meaningful shifts in traveller sentiment and intention.
“Rather than a lack of interest in visiting the US, our travel intent data highlights long-haul travellers’ growing uncertainty about planning trips well in advance, with booking lead times readjusting toward shorter planning horizons.
“It is precisely during the planning phase that the US is in risk of losing competitive ground, as travellers might be considering alternative destinations."