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Healthy booking figures and record Atol capacity following three strong years meant straightforward licence renewals for most companies in September, yet Atol specialists report a minority of businesses struggled to renew.
Smaller mass-market operators, companies carrying Covid debts and those moving above the CAA’s £20 million Atol turnover threshold had most difficulty – with more firms falling into this category as the threshold has not changed for a decade.
Chris Photi, partner and head of travel at White Hart Associates, described last month’s renewals as “fraught and as difficult as I can recall since Covid”, saying a minority of “zombie companies [those with significant unpaid debt] simply can’t meet the CAA tests”.
He reported the CAA had lessened its requirements to renew some licences, noting: “The industry’s finances are generally stronger, with many companies having had three successful years and repaying much of their Covid debt, but a minority continue to struggle and have not recovered from Covid. They take up a lot of the CAA’s and our time and effort to agree licensing renewal terms.”
Photi added: “The CAA has no desire to precipitate a failure and have lessened their requirements at times, albeit using licensing and booking restrictions as a backstop in the event businesses fail to meet the revised requirements.”
Travel Trade Consultancy director Martin Alcock agreed, saying: “I share the view that 90% of businesses are fine but 10% awful. Clients sailed through [the renewal process] provided they could meet the CAA’s requirements.”
He suggested: “The biggest problem has been with companies going from below the £20 million Atol turnover threshold to above it.”
Alcock noted the CAA “applies a completely different set of requirements and a bunch of financial tests” above the threshold and can order a business “to put X amount of money back into the company”.
He added: “The £20 million threshold hasn’t changed for 10 years and it’s capturing more and more businesses – especially a lot more owner-managed operators, putting pressure on fairly well-run businesses.”
Alan Bowen, advisor to the Association of Atol Companies, told Travel Weekly: “Some businesses still have a lot of debt from Covid and it’s sitting as a liability in their accounts. Some of my clients have been looking at these [indebted] companies to buy them, but when they see the debt, they don’t want to take it on.”
Alcock highlighted the pressure on “mass-market operators without a point of difference”, saying: “It’s so low-margin, it’s hard to see a future for those unless they can get scale.”
He added: “The CAA can impose restrictions and monitor companies closely – we see that all the time. But it has a cut-off for renewing a licence given the renewal deadline.
“So, the CAA is damned if it does and damned if it doesn’t [renew]. If it takes a licence away, it kills the business. If it allows a company to trade and it fails, people ask why it granted the licence.”
Alcock noted: “Keeping a business going can help the Air Travel Trust fund. The CAA has to be pragmatic.”