US faces slump in foreign tourists this year amid 'negative sentiment' 

A projected 4.5 million slump in international travellers to the US this year threatens “billions in spending and thousands of jobs” amid negative sentiment towards the country.

 

The warning came in the latest travel forecast issued by the US Travel Association, projecting little growth in travel spend for 2025 and a “significant decline” in international inbound travel, described as a critical driver of the country’s economy, jobs and global influence.

 

Inbound arrivals are forecast to drop 6.3% from 72.4 million last year to 67.9 million in 2025 - the first decline since the pandemic year of 2020.

 

International visitor spend is also estimated to be 3.2% down year on year at $173 billion. 

 

Significantly fewer visits from Canada were identified as the primary driver of the decrease in international travellers to the US, while the volume of visits from other countries is expected to be flat.

 

With outbound international travel from the US continuing to grow, the travel trade deficit for 2025 is tracking to reach nearly $70 billion, the association estimated.

 

The report said: “Consumer uncertainty remains significant, and if broader economic conditions deteriorate travel is likely to decrease as well.

 

"Additionally, the US risks further decreasing international inbound visits based on potential increases in visa fees, extended wait times for visa applications and renewals, and negative sentiment towards the US in key markets.”

 

However, major events from next year, such as the FIFA World Cup and America’s 250th anniversary, are expected to lead to a rebound in foreign arrivals.

 

International visits are forecast to resume growth in 2026 with 70.4 million visits, and surpass historic highs with 81.9 million in 2029.

 

The report noted: “The latest forecast signals both opportunity and warning for America’s travel economy. While domestic travel is holding steady, the continued decline in international visitors threatens billions in spending and thousands of jobs. 

 

“The next decade can be one of extraordinary growth, but only if we act decisively. 

 

“Outdated systems, excessive visa wait times and new travel deterrents are driving global visitors elsewhere. 

 

“The US must lead by modernising travel infrastructure, streamlining entry processes and sending a clear message: ’America is open for business’.”