News

Heathrow and Gatwick expansion costs ‘underestimated’

Plans to build new runways at Heathrow and Gatwick will cost substantially more than the bidders have estimated, the Airports Commission says.

The commission says a second runway at Gatwick would cost £2 billion more than the bid suggests.

Two separate plans to expand Heathrow are predicted to cost £3-4 billion more, the BBC reported.

The commission has been tasked with determining where a new runway should be built to meet rising capacity demand in the southeast.

It is considering three options – a second runway at Gatwick, a third runway at Heathrow, or an extension to one of the existing Heathrow runways.

The commission has released its latest analysis of the three shortlisted plans at the start of a three-month public consultation period.

But commission chairman Sir Howard Davies (pictured) said today that no decision had yet been made.

“We have not yet taken a view on which proposal strikes the most effective balance between the assessment criteria,” he said.

“It is important first that we provide an opportunity for this evidence to be examined, challenged and improved. This consultation gives everyone with an interest in the issue of airport expansion that opportunity.”

However, the report suggests that all three bids have underestimated the costs involved.

Landing charges to airlines would also need to increase in order to pay for the expansion.

Gatwick’s plan to add a second runway is the quietest and easiest to deliver, according to the commission’s analysis.

But expanding Heathrow is seen as more likely to deliver a bigger boost to the economy, and create more jobs.

The commission is not due to issue his final recommendation to the government until the summer of 2015 – after the general election.


British Air Transport Association chief executive Nathan Stower, responding to the Airports Commission’s consultation on its appraisal of the three shortlisted options, said: “The Airports Commission’s final recommendation must be cost effective, offer value for money, and not rely on today’s passengers paying for infrastructure that won’t be ready until at least the mid-2020s.

“UK airlines will study the appraisal of each option in detail to judge whether the plan is supported by a robust business case with realistic forecasts and a credible funding mechanism.

“I hope our politicians will wait for the results of this consultation and the commission’s final report so that political decisions can be taken with the fullest evidence.”


Heathrow chief executive John Holland-Kaye said: “The commission has confirmed that only Heathrow can connect all of Britain to global growth, delivering over £200 billion to the British economy and 180,000 jobs while reducing noise for local residents compared to today.

“This shows that Heathrow’s proposal is deliverable and is the only way to keep Britain at the heart of the global economy.

“Now it’s time for all those who want a better future for Britain to make their voice heard and back Heathrow.”

The commission puts the economic benefit of a new runway at Heathrow at £112-£211 billion – a significantly higher figure than previously estimated.

The value to the economy of choosing Heathrow over Gatwick could be as much as £97 billion, it says.

Gatwick chief executive Stewart Wingate said: “The Airports Commission’s consultation published today underlines why momentum is gathering behind Gatwick’s case for airport expansion in the south-east.

“The commission will have to consider a range of factors in making their final decision.

“Their report today indicates why expansion at Gatwick best answers all the questions. It can give the country two world class airports. 


“The UK gets the economic benefit it needs at a fraction of the environmental impact of Heathrow today. It would mean competition and lower fares for passengers. We have a financing plan and a construction project that can be delivered without huge risk to the public purse.


“After decades of indecision, the UK needs something to happen. As the commission underlines Gatwick can actually be delivered by 2025.

“We have a safeguarded site with little risk and no complex construction across major motorways. Our new runway can be funded without a penny of taxpayers’ money at a time when there are a lot of other competing priorities for public funds.

”

Share article

View Comments

Jacobs Media is honoured to be the recipient of the 2020 Queen's Award for Enterprise.

The highest official awards for UK businesses since being established by royal warrant in 1965. Read more.