Iata has reported a slight uptick in demand for air travel in September but says traffic “remains stalled” and stressed the aviation industry must not get “bogged down in complication”.
Iata said the uptick was driven by recovery in domestic markets, particularly China, where some Covid travel restrictions were lifted following outbreaks in August. International demand, meanwhile, slipped slightly compared to the previous month.
New figures showed total demand for air travel in September 2021 was down 53.4% compared to September 2019. This marked an uptick from August, when demand was 56% below August 2019 levels.
International passenger demand in September was 69.2% below September 2019, fractionally worse than the 68.7% decline recorded in August.
Domestic markets were down 24.3% compared to September 2019, compared to August 2021 when traffic was down 32.6% versus two years ago.
All markets showed improvement with the exception of Japan and Russia, Iata said, although it noted Russia “remained in solid growth territory compared to 2019”.
Director general Willie Walsh said: “September’s performance is a positive development but recovery in international traffic remains stalled amid continuing border closures and quarantine mandates.
“The recent US policy change to reopen travel from 33 markets for fully vaccinated foreigners from November 8 is a welcome, if long overdue, development.
“Along with recent re-openings in other key markets like Australia, Argentina, Thailand, and Singapore this should give a boost to the large-scale restoration of the freedom to travel.”
European carriers’ September international traffic declined 56.9% versus September 2019, down one percentage point compared to the 55.9% decrease in August versus the same month in 2019. Capacity dropped 46.3% and load factor fell 17.2 percentage points to 69.6%.
Asia-Pacific airlines saw their September international traffic fall 93.2% compared to September 2019, similar to the 93.4% drop registered in August 2021 versus August 2019. Capacity dropped 85.2% and the load factor was down 42.3 percentage points to 36.2%, easily the lowest among regions.
Middle Eastern airlines had a 67.1% demand drop in September compared to September 2019, slightly up from the 68.9% decrease in August, versus the same month in 2019. Capacity declined 52.6%, and load factor slipped 23.1 percentage points to 52.2%.
North American carriers experienced a 61% traffic drop in September versus the 2019 period, somewhat improved on the 59.3% decline in August compared to August 2019. Capacity dropped 47.6%, and load factor fell 21.3 percentage points to 61.9%.
Latin American airlines saw a 61.3% drop in September traffic, compared to the same month in 2019, an upturn over the 62.6% decline in August compared to August 2019. September capacity fell 55.6% and load factor dropped 10.7 percentage points to 72.0%, which was the highest load factor among the regions for the 12th consecutive month.
African airlines’ traffic fell 62.2% in September versus two years’ ago, almost 4 percentage points worse than the 58.5% decline in August compared to August 2019. September capacity was down 49.3% and load factor declined 18.4 percentage points to 53.7%.
Walsh added: “Each re-opening announcement seems to come with similar but different rules. We cannot let the recovery get bogged down in complication.
“The ICAO High Level Conference on Covid-19 agreed that harmonization should be a priority. The G20 declared a commitment to take action to support a recovery with seamless travel, sustainability, and digitalization.
“Now governments must put actions behind these words to realise simple and effective measures. People, jobs, businesses and economies are counting on real progress.”
Iata’s vision for safely re-establishing global connectivity is based on five key principles:
- Vaccines should be available to all as quickly as possible
- Vaccinated travelers should not face any barriers to travel
- Testing should enable those without access to vaccines to travel without quarantine
- Antigen tests are the key to cost-effective and convenient testing regimes, and
- Governments should pay for testing, so it does not become an economic barrier to travel